Early Yield Forecast Errors

The following is a condensed version of AEI Premium content. You can read the original posts here and here. Not a subscriber yet? Get started with a free trial.

This Fall, the U.S. corn and soybean crops have faced several late growing season challenges. Even before the August WASDE report was published, the Iowa derecho created several questions about the potential impacts. Furthermore, there has also been dryness in recent weeks.

With this in mind, this week’s post reviews USDA yield forecasts and historical errors.

(more…)